Frequently asked questions

Veridian is a forecasting tool that turns evidence and market information into probability estimates for real-world questions. It publishes a public track record so the same system is judged on resolved outcomes, not selected wins.

A 65% forecast means the event is estimated to occur about 65 times out of 100 in comparable situations. It is not a promise. Even well-calibrated 65% forecasts should be wrong roughly 35% of the time.

Edge is the difference between Veridian’s probability and the market-implied probability after the system evaluates a question. It highlights disagreement; it does not guarantee that a trade is profitable.

A receipt is a timestamped record of a published forecast payload. Signed receipts can be checked against Veridian’s public key, helping show that the recorded forecast was not rewritten after the fact.

Probabilities should change when evidence, prices, timing, or resolution conditions change. Veridian keeps revision history visible so you can inspect the path rather than seeing only the final number.

Resolved forecasts are compared with the actual outcome using proper scoring metrics such as the Brier score. Lower Brier scores are better. The record also shows sample size and recent resolutions so a percentage is not viewed without context.

Coverage can include prediction-market questions and selected crypto-market research. Availability changes with market quality, data access, expiration, and the system’s ability to form a supported forecast.

No. Veridian provides general probabilistic research. It does not know your circumstances and does not provide personalized investment, legal, or tax advice. Read the full disclaimer before acting on any forecast.

The responsive customer app is packaged for iOS and Android with Capacitor from the same web codebase. The website can also be added to your home screen where supported.

Choose the email-code option on the Account page. Veridian sends a six-digit code to your email; enter it before it expires to create or access your account. Configured Google and Apple options may also appear.

Yes. Sign in, open Account settings, and use the guarded delete-account action. This removes the active account subject to limited security, backup, and legal retention described in the privacy policy.

Use the Support page or email support@joinveridian.com. Include the forecast link or account email relevant to your question, but never send passwords, one-time codes, API keys, or private keys.